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Exit poll results revealed as voting concludes for 2024 General Election

The results of the exit poll carried out around the country today have been revealed following the conclusion of voting in General Election 2024.

Polling closed at 10pm around the country with the exit poll a study of 5,000 voters across all 43 constituencies.

5,018 people were interviewed and the margin of error is said to be 1.4%.

This exit poll is carried out by RTE, The Irish Times, TG4, Ipsos B&A and Trinity College this evening.

It puts Sinn Fein slightly ahead on 21.1%, with Fine Gael on 21% and Fianna Fáil on 19.5%.

2024 EXIT POLL 

  • Sinn Fein 21.1%
  • Fine Gael 21%
  • Fianna Fail 19.5%
  • Independents 12.7%
  • Social Democrats 5.8%
  • Labour 5%
  • Green Party 4%
  • Aontu 3.6%
  • People Before Profit 3.1%
  • Independent Ireland 2.2%
  • Others 1.9%

A similar poll was conducted following the conclusion of voting in the 2020 General Election.

Below are the results of that with the comparison to the actual result when the counting of votes concluded.

The opinion poll then was bang on for Fianna Fail, overestimated Fine Gael and underestimated Sinn Fein.

2020 EXIT POLL VERSUS ACTUAL RESULT

  • Fine Gael – 22.4% (20.9%)
  • Sinn Féin – 22.3% (24.5%)
  • Fianna Fáil – 22.2% (22.2%)
  • Independents – 11.2% (12.2%)
  • Green Party – 7.9% (7.1%)
  • Labour Party – 4.6% (4.4%)
  • Social Democrats – 3.4% (2.9%)
  • PBP/Solidarity – 2.8% (2.6%)
  • Aontú – 1.8% (1.9%)
  • Smaller parties – 1.5%

In Laois, the counting of votes will begin tomorrow in Scoil Chriost Ri.

Doors will open at 8.30am and the opening of boxes is to commence at 9am.

The Returning Officer is Rory Hanniffy and it is expected that the last of the boxes will be open by 12.30pm.

In the period in between, tallypeople will be watching all of the boxes as they open and trying to ascertain the spread of votes.

A fully tally should be available in the afternoon and that will paint a picture of who may be set to claim one of the three seats.

A first count is expected sometime around 6pm and it is anticipated that counting will go on into Sunday.

We will bring you all the action as it happens from 9am tomorrow on our Live Blog.

SEE ALSO – Check out the dedicated Podcast section on LaoisToday